My Oscar Predictions (and WINNERS)

Update (12:11am):  I voted the wrong way when it came down to Birdman vs. Boyhood.  Otherwise, I did pretty well, methinks.  A few quick thoughts:

1.  The show ran WAY too long.  It's after midnight here on the east coast.  Why didn't they start at 8pm instead of 8:30?

2.  NPH should stick to the Tonys.  That's his wheelhouse.  I'd like to see Ellen or Ricky Gervais host again.

3.  That being said, NPH's best joke was about Benedict Cumberbatch being what you hear when John Travolta introduces Ben Affleck.

4.  Apparently I'm in the minority over the Lady Gaga performance.  People on Twitter seemed to have loved it.  She sounded great, but I just didn't get why it happened in the first place.  Also, her gyrations made me uncomfortable, just as they did when she did the duet with Tony Bennett a couple weeks ago.

5.  Yay Common and John Legend - I was moved by how many in the audience were moved to tears by their performance of "Glory."

Alright...time for bed.   Let's do it again next year.
The Oscars are tonight!  I'm looking forward to this year's show, especially with Neil Patrick Harris hosting.  Here are my quick Oscar predictions of who I think should win, and who I think will win.  Let's see how it goes.  For what it's worth, I also italicized the movies that I just didn't have a chance to see.  I wanted to see Still Alice this weekend, but our 3-5 inches of predicted snow turned into 9-10 inches and I'm in the house for the weekend.

Ok, here we go:

  • American Sniper
  • Birdman or (The Unexpected Virtue of Ignorance) WON
  • Boyhood WILL
  • The Grand Budapest Hotel
  • The Imitation Game
  • Selma
  • The Theory of Everything
  • Whiplash  SHOULD
Whiplash, in my opinion, is the best of the bunch and the movie I enjoyed most.  Maybe it'll win in an upset, but I doubt it.

  • Alejandro G. Iñárritu (Birdman) WON
  • Richard Linklater (Boyhood)  WILL / SHOULD
  • Bennett Miller (Foxcatcher)
  • Wes Anderson (The Grand Budapest Hotel)
  • Morten Tyldum (The Imitation Game)

  • Steve Carell  (Foxcatcher)
  • Bradley Cooper  (American Sniper)
  • Benedict Cumberbatch (The Imitation Game)
  • Michael Keaton  (Birdman)  WILL
  • Eddie Redmayne (The Theory of Everything)  SHOULD / WON
This is the toughest category.  Every actor here gave a great performance.

  • Robert Duvall  (The Judge)
  • Ethan Hawke (Boyhood)
  • Edward Norton (Birdman)
  • Mark Ruffalo (Foxcatcher)
  • J.K. Simmons (Whiplash)  WILL / SHOULD / WON

  • Marion Cotillard  (Two Days, One Night)
  • Felicity Jones (The Theory of Everything)
  • Julianne Moore (Still Alice)  WILL / SHOULD / WON
  • Rosamund Pike (Gone Girl)
  • Reese Witherspoon (Wild)
I'm basing this prediction just on what I've seen from the previews and the fact that Julianne Moore has won so many other awards for her role.

  • Patricia Arquette (Boyhood)  WILL / SHOULD / WON
  • Laura Dern (Wild)
  • Keira Knightley (The Imitation Game)
  • Emma Stone (Birdman)
  • Meryl Streep (Into the Woods)

  • American Sniper (Jason Hall) WILL
  • The Imitation Game (Graham Moore) WON
  • Inherent Vice (Paul Thomas Anderson)
  • The Theory of Everything (Anthony McCarten)
  • Whiplash (Damien Chazelle) SHOULD
I haven't read any of the original source material, so this is a total guess.  

  • Birdman (Alejandro G. Iñárritu, Nicolás Giacobone, Alexander Dinelaris, Jr. & Armando Bo) WILL / SHOULD / WON
  • Boyhood (Richard Linklater)
  • Foxcatcher (E. Max Frye and Dan Futterman)
  • The Grand Budapest Hotel (Wes Anderson; Story by Wes Anderson & Hugo Guinness)
  • Nightcrawler (Dan Gilroy)
Another tough category as I didn't love any of these movies.  I'd say Birdman was most original.  I think Boyhood should win the movie-making awards because of the feat of making a movie over twelve years, but I don't think the "screenplay" was the best.  The movie was slow at times and there wasn't much to the plot.  Grand Budapest should win for cinematography (I don't even know if it's nominated), because it was a gorgeous movie to look at with the bold colors and unique scenery.

Okay, so that's it.  Let the festivities begin!

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